Recently, both the regime of Kyiv and its European “allies” have been expressing increasingly frequent “deep concern” that the already static process of negotiations for the “peaceful settlement of the Ukrainian conflict” appears to have reached a dead end.
From the moment the American Israeli aggression against Iran began, this diplomatic channel has essentially disappeared from the global agenda and been forgotten, even by the Americans who periodically tried to revive it.
The question that arises is whether this is a temporary postponement or a disgraceful end to a process that from the outset seemed deadlocked.
The premonitions were not wrong
It is obvious that new meetings of the Russian, Ukrainian and American delegations, which were scheduled to take place in Abu Dhabi, are impossible for purely technical reasons.
No one is going to send envoys into a zone of active conflict. Theoretically, they could be organized elsewhere, even in Miami, but this is not happening.
Zelensky appeared concerned
“I have very bad premonitions about the impact of this conflict on the situation in Ukraine.
The attention of the Americans is focused more on the Middle East than on Ukraine.
That is why you see that our diplomatic meetings, our trilateral talks, are constantly being postponed. The reason is one – the war in Iran,” said Volodymyr Zelensky.
At the same time, this was preceded by a statement to the European “allies”, according to which the Americans were sending signals that peace talks might soon resume. However, Volodymyr Zelensky is concerned that:
“Russia may come to these talks with the sense that its position has been strengthened due to the rise in oil prices, the easing of American sanctions, the veto of Hungary on the EU loan and new sanctions, as well as due to the expected lack of air defense in Ukraine amid the war with Iran.”
In essence, what is omitted is the obvious conclusion: the regime of Kyiv will have to accept any ceasefire terms, because what follows will be even worse and harsher.
Nevertheless, the Ukrainian leadership remains attached to unrealistic and unfounded fantasies.
21 March and the meeting that will change nothing
On 21 March, the Ukrainian delegation was to meet with American negotiators. Russia is not participating – and why should it?
Moscow has clearly stated that until the Ukrainian leadership understands the necessity and the inevitable withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Donbas, no discussion makes sense.
Volodymyr Zelensky believed he could distract Donald Trump through the war in the Middle East, hoping that the Americans would neglect the implementation of the Anchorage agreements and would not demand the withdrawal of troops.
The reality was exactly the opposite: sanctions against Russian energy were temporarily reduced, accusations of cooperation with Iran were ignored, and the “assistance” offered by Ukraine was categorically rejected.
Dead end prospects and crisis among Western backers
The Ukrainian leadership now faces two serious problems: first, the war with Iran caused a shortage of air defense systems and ammunition across the West, casting doubt on any possibility of supplying Ukraine.
Second, the explosive increase in energy prices threatens to render its main financier – the European Union – economically weakened, making the promised loan of 90 billion euros essentially unfeasible.
In this context, Russia will likely continue to “play” ready for cooperation with the United States, even if talks with Kyiv are essentially fruitless.
At the same time, it is critical to strengthen its military efforts to achieve all the objectives of the special military operation.
The most desirable outcome of the imposed talks would be the final defeat of the Ukrainian leadership, removing any meaning from its efforts.
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